Promise-keeping streak4 kept in a rowguidance & buyback

CARVANA CO.

(CVNA)

CIK 1690820 · SEC filings only

A+Guidance record
grade
company entity
4 resolved promises

Sector median (Trade & Services): A+ across 26 graded companies

Resolved promises

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Full say-do history

Free scorecards show the 12 most recent resolved guidance promises. See the complete multi-year record with Pro.

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Guidance by basis

4 of 8 guidance figures that were graded or dropped for basis could not be graded on the same basis (50%). Guidance marked “not judged” is in neither number.

Guidance typeSaidGradedDroppedOther
Revenue · non-GAAPcannot be graded3021
Revenue · basis not stated144010
EPS · non-GAAPcannot be graded7025

Said counts every revenue and EPS guidance figure on record. Dropped counts figures whose period was reported but which have no comparable GAAP actual in SEC XBRL. Other covers open, superseded, withdrawn and otherwise unresolved figures. The coverage note below counts every figure shown but not graded, including figures whose period has not been reported, so it can be larger.

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Guidance shown, not graded (14)

We show what was said — with its source filing — but never score it. The line under each statement says why.

  1. revenue guidance fy · Jul 29, 2026
    Adjusted EBITDA 1 of $2.7 to $3.0 billion for the full year 2026
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  2. eps guidance fy · Oct 29, 2025
    Adjusted EBITDA at or above the high end of our previously communicated range of $2.0 to $2.2 billion for the full year 2025
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  3. revenue guidance fy · Jul 30, 2025
    Adjusted EBITDA 2 of $2.0 to $2.2 billion for the full year 2025
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  4. eps guidance fy · Oct 30, 2024
    Adjusted EBITDA significantly above the high end of our previously communicated range of $1.0 to $1.2 billion for the full year 2024
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  5. eps guidance fy · Jul 31, 2024
    Adjusted EBITDA of $1.0 to $1.2 billion for the full year 2024
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  6. revenue guidance q · Jul 31, 2024
    we expect to grow retail units sequentially in Q3
    Not judged — the company guided on a basis or for a measure that the reported figure we hold does not match.Filing ↗
  7. eps guidance q · Nov 2, 2023
    Positive Adjusted EBITDA for the third consecutive quarter
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  8. eps guidance fy · Nov 2, 2023
    We also expect to generate significant positive Adjusted EBITDA in FY 2024
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  9. revenue guidance q · Nov 2, 2023
    we expect the following as long as the environment remains stable: • A sequential decline in retail units sold
    Not judged — the company guided on a basis or for a measure that the reported figure we hold does not match.Filing ↗
  10. eps guidance q · Jul 19, 2023
    we expect to generate positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2023
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  11. revenue guidance q · Jul 19, 2023
    we currently expect Non-GAAP Total GPU above $5,000 in Q3 2023
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  12. eps guidance q · May 4, 2023
    we expect to generate positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2023
    Unverifiable — company guides non-GAAP; no comparable GAAP actual exists in XBRL.Filing ↗
  13. revenue guidance q · Nov 4, 2021
    We expect revenue growth in Q4 to be more closely aligned with retail unit growth than it was in Q3.
    Not judged — the company guided on a basis or for a measure that the reported figure we hold does not match.Filing ↗
  14. revenue guidance fy · May 6, 2021
    FY21 revenue growth in line with retail unit growth
    Not judged — the company guided on a basis or for a measure that the reported figure we hold does not match.Filing ↗

Open promises (3) · 3 superseded

Open · revenue guidance q

we currently expect a reduction in retail units sold in Q2 2023 compared to Q1 2023

unresolved — no outcome on filereceipt (opens in a new tab)
Open · revenue guidance q

In Q4 2024, we expect retail revenue per retail unit sold of ~$21k

unresolved — no outcome on filereceipt (opens in a new tab)
Open · revenue guidance q

Looking toward the fourth quarter, we expect the following as long as the environment remains stable

unresolved — no outcome on filereceipt (opens in a new tab)
Superseded · revenue guidance fy

Revenue of $3.5 billion – $3.6 billion

revised by a later guidancereceipt (opens in a new tab)
Superseded · revenue guidance fy

Revenue of $3.6 billion – $3.7 billion

revised by a later guidancereceipt (opens in a new tab)
Superseded · revenue guidance fy

Revenue of $3.5 billion – $3.6 billion

revised by a later guidancereceipt (opens in a new tab)

Credibility timeline

IN LINE · Feb 27, 2019IN LINE · Feb 27, 2019IN LINE · Feb 26, 2020ABOVE · Feb 18, 2026
20192026
Timeline as a list
  • Feb 27, 2019IN LINETotal revenue of $570 million – $630 million
  • Feb 27, 2019IN LINERevenue of $1.94 billion – $2.0 billion
  • Feb 26, 2020IN LINERevenue of $3.85 billion – $3.95 billion
  • Feb 18, 2026ABOVEthe 5 to 10 years approximately corresponds to a ~20% to ~40% retail units sold CAGR compared to FY 2024
4 resolved guidance promises · 14 not graded (no comparable reported figure) · resolver resolver-v5 · score score-v1. Every verdict links to its source filing. Full methodology →